Wednesday, August 3, 2011

some numbers to amaze you

 This was sent to me by a friend. So the "I" isn't me. Thought I would share this with you. Very interesting.

How many are there on the sex offender registry?

            I recently received a letter that deserves notice.  Mr. W. the writer, had pulled together statistical information from readily available published sources.  He concludes that:

·         1 out of every 354 people in the state of Arkansas is listed on the sex offender registry.  When calculated to include only adult males the ratio falls too 1 out of every 148.

·         By 2020, 1 out of every 59 adult males in Arkansas will be a registered sex offender.

His information was based on the following:

            2010 Total population based 2009 population (2,889,450) plus the increase from 2008-      2009 (34,060).  (Source, Article in the Arkansas Democrat Gazette, September 2010.)

            Total male population assumes 58.9% of the general population is male.  (Source, Article   in the Arkansas Democrat Gazette, September 2010.)

            Adult population (age 15 and over) assumes 20.2% of the total population is under the      age of 15.  (Source, Time Almanac, 2008)

            2020 Projected Total Population based on growth rates from 2000 – 2010 and       extrapolated Source, Time Almanac 2008)

            2020 projected registered sex offender population based on current September 2010 total,            plus additional 2000 waiting for processing, plus an additional 100 added per month.  (Source Article in the Arkansas Democrat Gazette, September 2010.)

            Estimated percentage of registered sex offenders may be higher than 93%

            I researched my own figures and came up with the fact that Arkansas ranks 7th in the per capita number of sex offenders per 100,000 population, The national average is 236.  In Arkansas we have 386 registered sex offenders for every 100,000 Arkansans.  We follow behind, Oregon with 612, Montana with 517, Michigan with 477, Vermont with 393, Wisconsin with 386, and North Dakota with 377.   The two states or territories with the lowest percentage of population on their sex offender registry are Pennsylvania with 87 and Puerto Rico with 76.  This information is according to the National Center for Missing and Exploited Children,  Of course these figures are per 100,000 population in total, if you drop it down to the 93% male guesstimate and limit that to men over 15 you will come up with similarly startling statistics.

            Most recent surveys state that the number of registered sex offenders in the U.S. is 739.853 (according to Carolyn Atwell-Davis, director of legislative affairs for the National Center for Missing and Exploited Children).  With the number of men, women and children on the sex offender registries nationally nearing ¾ of a million we must begin to examine how these laws are affecting the millions of friends and family of registrants nationwide.

            I want to think Mr. Wadsworth for bringing this to our attention.  If any of you readers are interested in doing your own statistical research or if you can come up with the ratio of males to females listed on the Arkansas sex offender registry that would be greatly appreciated.

More Sex Offender Myths (Busted!):

From the U.S. Department for Justices’ Center of Sex Offender Management,

Myth:  "Most sexual assaults are committed by strangers."
Fact:  Most sexual assaults are committed by someone known to the victim or the victim's family, regardless of whether the victim is a child or an adult.

Myth:  "Most sex offenders reoffend."
Fact:   Reconviction data suggest that this is not the case. Further, re-offense rates vary among different types of sex offenders and are related to specific characteristics of the offender and the offense.

Myth:  "Sexual offense rates are higher than ever and continue to climb."
Fact:  Despite the increase in publicity about sexual crimes, the actual rate of reported sexual assault has decreased in recent years.

Myth:  "Youths do not commit sex offenses."
Fact:  Adolescents are responsible for a significant number of 1/3 of all rape and ½ of all child molestation cases each year. 

 Back to me now:
I hope you enjoy these number.. They will open your eyes!! 
 The next  blog will be from my son. He wrote to YOU again.

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